Fortnite Treasure Chest Odds — Every Rarity Tier Compared
Treasure Hunters publishes its Treasure Odds by category. The headline tier is the Weekly Gold Outfit at 1 in 1,562,500 — currently represented by the Solid Gold Lil Uzi Vert Outfit. Below is the full table plus the “average chests per drop” conversion for each rarity.
Full Odds Table
| Reward Category | Rarity | Odds | Avg. Chests per Drop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Gold Outfit | Ultra-rare weekly outfit | 1 in 1,562,500 | 1,562,500 |
| Pirate Shop Access | Ultra-rare season-long token | 1 in 137,500 | 137,500 |
| Weekly Vehicle (car body) | Very rare weekly vehicle | 1 in 7,813 | 7,813 |
| Weekly Pickaxe / Back Bling | Rare weekly cosmetic | 1 in 568 | 568 |
| Weekly Jam Track | Rare weekly music track | 1 in 391 | 391 |
| Weekly Loading Screen | Uncommon weekly cosmetic | 1 in 272 | 272 |
| Utility Gizmos (5 types) | Common utility drop | 1 in 127 | 127 |
“Avg. chests per drop” is simply 1 ÷ odds: opening that many Treasure Chests gives you roughly a coin-flip chance of having seen one drop, and half that number gives ~39%. These are category rates — the same Weekly Gold Outfit number applies to every week's outfit, from Week 1's Solid Gold A$AP Rocky Outfit to Week 2's Solid Gold Lil Uzi Vert Outfit and beyond.
Rarity, Explained in Plain Numbers
- Weekly Gold Outfit — 1 in 1,562,500. The rarest drop of the event. Solo players realistically never hit this; squads sharing one drop is the intended path.
- Pirate Shop Access — 1 in 137,500. Roughly 11× more common than the gold outfit, and it stays in the pool all season, so every chest you open all event long is also a Pirate Shop Access roll.
- Weekly vehicle — 1 in 7,813. Rare but achievable for a heavy chest-farming week (~18 chests/day).
- Pickaxe / Back Bling (1 in 568), Jam Track (1 in 391), Loading Screen (1 in 272). A normal evening of play gives you real odds at these.
- Utility Gizmos — 1 in 127 each. The common tier; most active players see several per week.
How the Odds Apply to Each Week
Because Epic publishes rates per category, each weekly window reuses the same table — only the item names change. That means the Solid Gold Lil Uzi Vert Outfit carries the same 1-in-1,562,500 rate the Week 1 A$AP Rocky outfit had. For the per-week itemized tables, see each week's page (Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5).
Community discussion sometimes mentions boosted odds during special Treasure Hours. Those figures are not in the official Treasure Odds table and have not been verified across sources, so we do not publish any “effective” rates here — this page shows the base, sourced numbers only.
Planning your week around these numbers? The schedule page shows how much time each window has left, and the rewards list maps every item to its week.